By Aidan Smyth
Wales vs England
England take on Wales knowing a win will be enough to top the group tonight, whilst for Wales only a win will be enough to progress following their defeat to Iran.
Harry Kane is yet to have a shot on target at this World Cup which would be a slight concern for Gareth Southgate, and means we’re looking elsewhere for a bit of value in the goal scoring markets. Harry Maguire scored 4 goals in qualifying and hit the bar against Iran, it wouldn’t be a surprise at all to see the big centre back get on the scoresheet here and he’s good value to score anytime here.
The forward players have tended to dominate the MOTM award at the tournament so far so at a big price I’m opting for Mason Mount. Mount was nowhere near his best against USA but did improve when Henderson and Grealish came on. With the rumours that Henderson will start over Bellingham for tonight’s game, Mount may move to a more advanced role, and given his defensive capabilities, a goal or assist and he’ll be in with a shout.
England need to win to top the group and I think they’ll get that, but it may not be straight forward, I can see their being goals with Wales having very little to lose, so I’m going for 3-1 England as the correct score.
Best Bets
Mason Mount MOTM - 11.0
Harry Maguire to score anytime - 10.0
England 3-1 Correct Score - 13.0
USA vs Iran
This is a straight shootout for qualification and with major controversy in the buildup to the game, it is safe to expect quite a fiery affair, and cards is a good route into this match.
Ramin Rezaeian was on the bench against England but played and scored against Wales so it is likely he will keep his place. He was carded in that game and up against Christian Pulisic here it would be no surprise to see his name in the book again, at 3.75 he’s good value for a card.
In the MOTM market, Pulisic is a bit short for me at 3.0, so I’m going instead at a big price for Walker Zimmerman at 26.0. The big centre back has scored 4 goals in MLS this season and as the target for set pieces, which Iran struggled to defend against England, he could find himself on the scoresheet, as well as being defensively solid.
I’m expecting this to be a tight game with so much at stake, a goal either way to decide it so I’m going with 2-1 USA as the correct score here. Tackles will likely be flying in, but USA might just have that extra bit of quality in the final third.
Best Bets
USA 2-1 correct score - 8.60
Walker Zimmerman MOTM - 26.0
Ramin Rezaeian to be carded - 3.75
*Terms and conditions apply: First £5 free bet credited once the £10 qualifying bet has settled. Second £5 free bet credited once the first £5 free bet has settled. Free spins credited as soon as the £10 qualifying bet has been placed.18+ Only. Gamble Responsibly. Prices accurate at 09:15 29/11/2022
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