By Tom Kimsey
2022/23 Stats:
Tottenham average 2.00 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game.
Tottenham average 13.90 shots per game of which 5.72 are on target.
Tottenham average 1.72 yellow cards per game and 5.45 fouls.
Harry Kane has scored 9 goals in the league this season, and has an xG per match of 0.73
Newcastle average 1.73 goals scored and 0.82 conceded per game.
Newcastle average 15.27 shots per game of which 5.45 are on target.
Newcastle average 1.54 yellow cards per game and 5.81 fouls.
Miguel Almiron has scored 5 goals in the league this season, and has an xG per match of 0.31
Tottenham have beaten Newcastle in 7 of the last 10 Premier League meetings (W7, D2, L1)
Newcastle have only lost once in their last 14 matches (all competitions)
Winning today would be the first time since 1964/65 that Tottenham have won their opening 6 league games.
Coming into this game on the back of a momentum crushing 2-0 defeat to Man United, Conte will be looking to get things back on track as Tottenham look to challenge Arsenal and Man City at the top of the league.
Under Eddie Howe, Newcastle are beginning to cement themselves as a European contender as they return to action on the back of a hard fought 1-0 win against Everton. With just the 3 goals conceded in their last five Premier League games, Newcastle will need to uphold their defensive record against one of the leagues most dangerous partnerships in Kane and Son.
With Kane and Son combining for 6.66 shots per game (3.35 on target), Pope will be looking to stop the duo adding to their 12 goal tally. Although a short price, I expect the Spurs front line to be heavily involved today and I like the look of both:
Kane & Son to have 3+ Shots on Target combined (8/15)
Kane & Son to have 4+ Shots on Target combined (11/8)
Newcastle have the most corners of any side heading into this game, and with an average of 7.45 a game, I really like:
Newcastle to have over 4.5 corners (5/4)
In what would be a huge statement of intention should Newcastle win today, Tottenham will also be conscious of not falling further behind the league leaders. Therefore we can expect tensions to be high, and fouls to be made. 10+ fouls combined per game between the two sides should lead to Jarred Gillet pulling out the cards, and with 6 yellows awarded in his last Newcastle game (v Man City) I think the following stand out (subject to team news):
Emerson Royal to be carded (9/5)
Tottenham to have over 2.5 cards (8/5)
Newcastle to have over 3.5 cards (10/3)
The market suggests Tottenham are favorites as they look to extend their home winning run, but with the form of Eddie Howe's side, I expect a tightly fought content and therefore will be sitting back to watch this one as a neutral, rather than backing either side to win.
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