By Sam Cook
6PM Games Stat Pack
Browns (2-4) @ Ravens (3-3)
Both high scoring- Ravens 5th most PPG @ 26.3 & Browns 7th @ 24.6 PPG. Browns also allow joint highest 27.16 PPG compared to Ravens 23.5. Expect points. 89 points in 2020 game.
Browns most rush yards 172 per game and Ravens 6th most 155.6.
Lamar is on poor form- 401 passing yards in last 10 quarters of football but Rashod Bateman is returning.
Mark Andrews averaging 6.5 receptions a game
Buccs (3-3) @ Panthers (1-5)
Panthers only 41 points across last 3 games plus no CMC now.
Buccs hugely out of form- only averaging 20 points per game.
Buccs terrible run game- last for yards, YPC & tied last for rushing TDS. 405 yards @ 3.1 for 2 TDs.
Godwin averaging 9.3 targets in last 3.
Falcons (3-3) @ Bengals (3-3)
Both teams averaging over 23 points a game & Bengals cleared 27 in their last- coming into form.
Atlanta allow 281 pass yards a game most in the league.
Boyd, Higgins, Hurst, Mixon all between 29 & 38 targets but Chase on 63 targets. Chase for volume but faces double teams.
Falcons 6-0 against the spread this season- tough to put away.
Lions (1-4) @ Cowboys (4-2)
Lions allowing 34 points per game compared to Cowboys only just over 16.
Goff poor completion rate (7th worst @ 59.7%) against a good secondary. Diggs interception?
Amon Ra back healthy- almost 10 targets per game but faces Diggs. Reynolds & Hock could continue to improve their almost 7 targets per game.
Dak is back- expect pass heavy scheme with Lamb @ 10 targets per game but only 33 catches.
Giants (5-1) @ Jags (2-4)
Jags shared backfield- Etienne 301 @5.6 YPC & Robinson 340 @4.2 going up against worst run D- allowing 5.6 YPC (32nd) and 144 yards per game (30th).
Saquon rushing over 100 yards average each game but up against tough run D- 5th for yards allowed (536) & 3rd for YPC (3.6).
Giants no passing game & no receiver over 200 yards with Saquon 2nd leading receiver with 155 to James’ 189.
Jags pass D allows 8th most yards- Jones big game if the receivers step up?
Colts (3-1-2) @ Titans (3-2)
Both teams elite rushers last year (2nd most rush yards for Colts & 5th most for Titans) but poor this year (Colts 5th worst & Titans 6th worst* Titans have played a game less).
Despite run game struggles both backs Henry & Taylor averaging 81.6 and 82 yards per game.
Pittman target monster with over 10 a game and over 7 catches per game.
Alec Pierce explosive option now Ryan found his groove (389 & 3 TDs last week). Pierce 15.1 yards per catch.
Packers (3-3) @ Commanders (2-4)
Heinecke in at QB but went for 268 and 95 yards rushing in this game last year. Don’t sleep on him. McClaurin 7 catches & TD for 122 yards in that game.
Commanders in need of change up on offence- averaged under 12 PPG over their last 4.
Robert Tonyan safety blanket for Rodgers last week- 10/12 for 90 yards.
Curtis Samuel still leading Commanders for targets (50) but McClaurin seeing 16.7 YPC compared to Samuel’s 8.4. Dotson returns and is the TD threat.
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