By Sam Cook
6PM Games Stat Pack
49ers @ Falcons
Mariota slow to throw (29th slowest 3.03 seconds) vs leading sack defence (21). Nick Bosa 6 sacks in 5 games.
Mariota aims downfield a lot but unsuccessfully- 2nd intended air yards but only 185.2 yards per game plus 4 interceptions.
Falcons 5-0 against the spread (19th team to do so since 1990).
Jeff Wilson 9th most rush yards but Falcons pass D is terrible- 1391 yards allowed (4th most) & only 8 sacks (joint 3rd worst).
Pats @ Browns
Nick Chubb is the best RB in the league on form. 593 yards (1st), 7 TDs (1st) & 6.1 yards per carry (3rd) against 21st rush D (128.8 yards allowed per game).
Browns clocked up 217, 184, 171, 177 & 213 rush yards per game.
Rhamondre Stevenson 11th rusher (372) vs 6th worst rush D (691 yards allowed).
Amari Cooper over 60 yards per game with the Browns.
Jets @ Packers
Jets have inflated pass defence stats having played back to back rookie QBs- expect Rodgers to challenge them more than their current 231 yards per game allowed.
Jets D 7 interceptions (tied 4th most) Vs Rodgers with best TD to INT statline of all time (457-96).
6 Jets with over 20 targets- all at least 16 receptions.
Jets 23.2 points per game, Packers only 19.4.
Jags @ Colts
Colts lowest scoring team in football- 69 points = under 14 points per game.
Jags only allow 16 points per game (5th best), 6th ranked for rush yards allowed, tied 4th best with 7 interceptions.
Matt Ryan league high 7 interceptions.
Christian Kirk 8 targets a game.
Vikings @ Dolphins
Miami's defence is struggling- shipped 131 points and 1384 passing yards (both ranked 5th worst).
Jefferson league leader for receiving yards 547 (41.32% of teams passing yards).
Hill is close behind 3rd most with 524- average yards per catch dropped from 15.4 to 6.7 with Thompson as QB.
Dalvin Cook 10th most rushing yards 373.
Bengals @ Saints
Taysom Hill coming off 100 yard rushing and 3 TD game.
Dalton at QB plays safe- almost 70% completion but only 423 yards in 2 games.
Olave’s production halved since Dalton has entered as starter (227 on 26 targets to 121 on 13)- both 2 game stats.
Saints 10th most rush yards allowed- expect Mixon to improve on seasons 302 yards.
Ravens @ Giants
Ravens 27.6 points per game (4th highest)
Lamar almost 290 scrimmage yards per game- 214 passing and 75 rushing with 14 TDs in 5 games.
Mark Andrews leading tight end for receiving yards with 349.
Saquon 2nd most rush yards (533) and 143 in the pass game against Ravens who rank worst for passing yards allowed (1451).
Buccs @ Steelers
Buccs don’t rush at all- 31st ranked with 330 yards at league worst 3.1 yards per carry.
Expect a pass heavy scheme instead- returning Godwin, Gage & Brate- Brady 4th most pass yards 1409.
Steelers pass D allowed 1438 yards (2nd most) and 11 TDs- expect Brady to add to that heavily.
Najee Harris gets volume but no value- 3rd worst yards per carry in the league at 3.2 for only 222 yards.
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