By Sam Cook
Thursday Night Football- Atlanta Falcons (4-5) @ Carolina Panthers (2-7)
Carolina Passing Offence
19.9 PPG ranking 23rd
28th ranked pass YPG- 184.6
Only averaged 13 PPG in their last 5 excluding the Atlanta game
Scored 34 points against Atlanta in week 8
30th ranked yardage per game- 289.9 but only 258 in last 3 bar Atlanta
Lowest completion percentage in the league- 57.5%
Attempting 29.8 passes a game & completing only 17.1 @ 6.7 yards per attempt
9 TDs to 8 INTs with 21 sacks- bottom 10 for TDs thrown, top 10 for number of INTs thrown and top 16 for sacks. Not a good passing offence.
PJ Walker benched mid game last week- expected to start but on a short leash. Averages 124.6 YPG and 3 TDs to 3 INTs in his 5 games
Mayfield averages 186.2 YPG with 6 TDs and 4 INTs in his 6 games but has been sacked 15 times- huge number for amount of time played
Walker against Atlanta 19/36 for 317 and 1 TD & 1 INT- made game winning drive only for kicker to miss and cost him
Walker against the Bengals 3/10 for 9 yards and 2 INTs- hard to predict
Mayfield against Bengals 14/20 (very impressive) for 155 and 2 TDs
28 pass plays over 20 yards and 5 over 40 yards- deep threat
Carolina Rushing Offence
22nd ranked rush YPG- 105.3- averaged 118.5 in games without CMC barring Atlanta- average jumps to 135.
Average 4.6 yards per carry- above average
8 rushing TDs- slightly below average
Only 4 rushes over 20 yards- bottom 10 in the league
Foreman has 6th most rushing yards in the league across his last 3- 259 yards and 3 TDs- averaged 86 YPG since CMC left
Foreman attempted 48 rushes since CMC left and averaged 5.4 YPC- only carried 7 times vs Bengals because they were losing heavily
118 yards on 26 carries vs Falcons for 3 TDs- huge game
Hubbard back in full practice- should play- in only game without CMC he rushed 9 times for 63 yards and a TD
Hubbard 7 YPC in Tampa game- if healthy expect high yardage on less carries, whereas Foreman less yards on more carries
Panthers Receiving Stats
Caught 9 TDs all season- only 1 a game
164 yards & 2 TDs week 9, 177 & 2 TDs in week 7- but a huge 317 yards and a TD vs the Falcons in week 8. (All these stats without CMC)
DJ Moore WR1 finally found form- terrible catch rate of 35/71 but has made 449 yards for 3 TDs.
Over half of Moore’s yards come in his last 3- 81.7 YPG for 245 total 2 TDs and 15/27 catches
Averaging 9 targets a game and catching 5 in his last 3
Terrace Marshall Jr next most targeted with 13/23 for 201. Almost all production has come in his last 3 games. 3/6 for 53 & a TD vs Bengals, 4/9 for 87 vs Falcons & 2/3 for 31 vs Buccs. Equals 9/18 for 171 at 19 YPC- clear deep threat to challenge Falcons secondary
TE Tremble a TD threat
Blackshear takes snaps at RB but only introduced into passing game last week catching 4/4 for 40 yards
Small WR room and only real RB to get involved is Blackshear
Shi Smith played every game but 9/23
Expect DJ Moore & Marshall otherwise it’s a run game
Falcons Passing Offence
9th most PPG- 24.1
Averaged 20 PPG in their last 5 games excluding the Carolina matchup
Scored 37 Vs Carolina in week 8
25th ranked for yardage per game- 320.1
30th ranked for pass YPG- 157.2
Completing 13.8 passes per game and attempting 22.3- 3rd fewest in both stats
10 passing TDs to 6 INTs
21 sacks- fairly average
Mariota 173.4 YPG but loses 16.2 YPG in sacks- competition percentage of 61.7% at an average of 7.8 yards per attempt (6th highest)
Don’t pass often but do pass deep- 23 passes over 20 yards or more
Last 3 games- 12/23 for 129, 20/28 for 253 3 TDs & 2 INTs vs Panthers, 8/13 for 124 and a TD vs Bengals.
Very mediocre in general
Falcons Rushing Stats
162.9 rush YPG- 4th most in the league
Average 4.8 YPC- 12th best
11 rushing TDs but 9 fumbles including 2 lost fumbles (high)
33.6 rush attempts per game- 3rd most
Put up 201 rush yards last week & 167 Vs Panthers in week 8
9 rushes over 20 yards- 6th most & 3 over 40 yards- tied 4th
5th most rush yards as a team over their last 3
Split carries & rush of late between rookies Huntley & Allgeier
Huntley very boom or bust- 7 for 34, 16 for 91 (Panthers game), 6 for 22, 16 for 59 then 8 for 34. Up and down and can’t be trusted.
Allgeier consistently gets carries but often has a low YPC rate- carried an average of 13.6 times across his last 5 with 99 yards last week @ 9.9 YPC but otherwise averaging 46.25 YPG at an average of 3.2 YPC
Patterson returned last week recording 13 carries for only 44 yards but 2 TDs
Only played 5 games but averaged 14 carries per game, 1 rushing TD per game and 76.8 YPG including two 100 yard games- can be seen as boom or bust for yards but carries are consistent
Huntley & Allgeier had 16 and 14 carries vs Panthers but differing yardage-Huntley 5.7 YPC for 91 & Allgeier 2.8 for 39
Mariota is a rushing QB- averaging 6.6 rushes a game for 33.8 yards including 3 TDs. Has fumbled 5 times losing 2 of them though
Falcons Receiving Stats
173.4 receiving YPG- 3rd least
Caught 10 TDs with London, Zaccheaus, Pitts & Byrd all scoring 2
Rookie WR London clearly most targeted with 6.2 targets a game but only 3.6 catches. Averaging 41 YPG but only 21 YPG across his last 3
Kyle Pitts seeing more targets- only 5.75 targets a game with almost 3 catches a game
Pitts 16 targets in his last 2 games but only 7 catches for 107 yards, expect another 8 target game
Zaccheaus only 25 targets but 22 catches at 36.8 YPG- hard to back, if he gets targets he’ll cover his receptions but may not see the ball
Byrd 3/6 for 67 and a TD in this matchup last time
Patterson used very little in the passing game only 5 catches on 8 targets but could be used as he was last year recording 52/69 for 548
Panthers Defensive Stats
Allow 25.3 PPG- 4th highest
Allow 6th most total yards- 370.3 including 231 pass YPG (12th most) & 139.3 rush YPG (5th most)
Allowed 12 passing TDs but only 6 interceptions
Can’t get to the QB- only 14 sacks- 5th fewest per game
Allowed 12 rushing TDs- only 3 teams allowed more
Shaq Thompson averaging 7.6 tackles/assists per game
Brian Burns 6 sacks
Falcons Defensive Stats
Allow 25 PPG- 7th most
406.9 yards per game allowed- 2nd most including 300 pass YPG (most) but only 106.9 rush YPG (8th best)
Allow 2nd highest completion percentage to QBs (68.9 %)
Allow 7.7 yards per pass attempt- 4th most
Allowed 15 passing TDs- over 1.5 a game
Made 8 interceptions but only 12 sacks (2nd lowest)
Being dominated by receivers with 250 receptions allowed- 27.8 per game
Only allow 4.3 rush yards per carry
Allowed 11 rushing TDs but forced 11 fumbles recovering 2 of them
Grady Jarrett 4.5 sacks
Rashaad Evans 85 tackles- 9.4 a game- huge numbers
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