By Sam Cook
Chiefs Offensive Stats
129 points total averaging over 32 per game (2nd best)
Mahomes 11 TDs (league lead with Goff) to only 2 INTs- ball security
Mahomes 276.5 yards per game
Kelce 26/34 for 322- 26.2% of all Chiefs air yards
Kelce vs Raiders since 2016 (12 games) 72 catches on 102 targets for 1048 yards & 6 TDs. Smash the over at 72.5 (cleared it 8/12 matchups)
CEH 5.1 YPC playing in 44% snaps (year high 56% vs Buccs- year high 92 yards rushing)
CEH 13/14 for receptions- backable if the line is over 1.5
Pacheco 5 YPC doing so vs 8 men boxes 53.57% of time. Play time on the increase 21% of snaps vs Buccs- coming up against 9th best run D
Juju seeing 5 targets a game and hitting almost 12 yards per catch- over 50.5 is value
Chiefs Defensive Stats
Concede 24 a game- 13th most
Allow 70.3% completion rate (2nd worst) but only 6 yards per attempt (7th best)
Rush D holds deceptive stat line of 65 yards per game as Buccs only rushed 6 times for 3 yards. Strong run D but coming up against strong RB in Jacobs
Only 1 interception- 25 teams have 2 or more.
Raiders Offensive Stats
Putting up 24 points a game- 10th highest
38.75 pass attempts per game- Carr’s over is bang on at 38.5 (should hit-forecasting a shootout/Raiders chasing from behind)
Inefficient with passes though. 21st in league for yards per attempt (6.7) and 22nd for completion (61.3%)
Return of Renfrow key- averaged 7.5 targets a game last year
Adams targeted almost 12 times a game (47) but only 6.5 catches a game
Jacobs 4.8 yards per carry but only option (70 of 91 team rush attempts)
Waller is 16/24 for 175 & 1 TD. Only 6 catches for 46 in the last two. Avoid.
Raiders Defensive Stats
Concede 25 points a game- 9th worst
Given up 257.75 QB passing yards and only had 2 INTs all season
Give up 5th highest completion percentage at 68.9% worrying stat vs Mahomes
Only 5 sacks (31st) but 4 for Maxx Crosby. Over 4.5 tackles & assists 6/5 is HUGE.
Allowed 5 rushing TDs- 5th most. Poor in short yardage situations.
Generally good rush D- only 3.9 yards per carry (8th best), Red zone run D lets them down.
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