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ryanskidmore8

Horse Racing: Saturday 1st April Tips

Doncaster

15:00 - Fast Response 9/1 1pt ew

Karl Burke’s filly really progressed through the ranks at the back of end of last season, with the obvious reason being due to the fact the ground got worse and worse.


Her progression was capped off when she ran over C&D on her last start of the year, showing an emphatic turn of foot in heavy ground to quicken away from her rivals and score with a fair bit in hand. Her affinity with testing ground will be well and truly required for this race too with the heavens opening up at Doncaster over the last few weeks.


I would imagine that the Middleham based trainer will have picked out this race a while back, and hopefully the market backs that up as anything over around the 5/1 mark overplays her chances in this listed contest.


Kempton

15:15 - Bandinelli 9/2 1pt win

This son of Dubawi has an excellent record around Kempton with form figures reading 21163 at the track, all over the 2 mile trip.


One of those victories for BANDINELLI came in this race last year, that was off the back of a break too and we know trainers are creatures of habit so there is no doubt in my mind that Charlie Appleby will have had this in the diary for a while.


He is just 2lb higher than his victory last year and this race is arguably a lot weaker, the one big danger comes in the form of Aztec Empire who is very unexposed at the trip, but he has to be worth taking on at such skinny odds and the selections looks a worthy alternative.


Doncaster

15:35 - Montassib 12/1 0.5pt ew

           - Migration 16/1 0.5pt ew

You can tell the flat is back when the Lincoln handicap comes around and the 2023 renewal looks as competitive as ever. One thing that will be required for the winner is the capability to deal with testing conditions and I think MONTASSIB and MIGRATION are worth playing against the field, especially with bookmakers paying so many extra places.


The former is arguably the second string for William Haggas but I think this horse could still prove better than his current mark of 98, given the right conditions that is anyway. This son of Exceed and Excel was unbeaten after 3 starts and really relished soft ground on his 3rd victory at Goodwood to score stylishly.


It was no surprise to see him go off favourite for the Buckingham Palace and the Bunbury Cup based off of his profile and he ran very promising races on both occasions, highlighted by finishing strongly, suggesting a mile would be his bag. His next two runs over a mile were both solid and he was left poorly placed twice, arguably on ground quicker than ideal too. I think a strongly run mile on testing ground will suit him down to the ground.


The latter is a classy performer for David Menuisier and I think he has solid claims with conditions to suit. He ran a stormer on return last season in the Spring Cup, just bumping into Modern News who went on to score at listed level, before running a massively eye-catching race in the Balmoral handicap at Ascot.


This will have been the target since his run at Newmarket at the back end of last season and he looks to be effectively running off a 2lb lower mark than his opening run last season with Benoit De La Sayette stealing 3lb off his back.

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